Expectations and Predictions
“Predicting future earnings and dividends is a most hazardous occupation. It requires not only the knowledge and skill of an economist, but also the acumen of a psychologist. On top of that, it is extremely difficult to be objective; wild optimism and extreme pessimism constantly battle for top place…
The point to remember is that no matter what formula you use for predicting the future, it always rests in part on the indeterminate premise..
Expectations about the future cannot be proven in the present.”
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